Most Asian markets end higher, but Trump throws stimulus grenade

Sculptures stand outside the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. The Hang Seng closed up 0.9% to 26,343.10 points yesterday. 

AFP /Hong Kong: Asian markets mostly rose on Wednesday following two days of selling, while investors appeared initially unfussed after US President Donald Trump called a new stimulus package “a disgrace” and told lawmakers to amend it.
Equities and oil prices took a hit as virus cases surged across the planet and a new more transmissible strain was reported in the UK, forcing governments to impose tight restrictions and lockdowns to contain the disease over the festive period.
The worrying spike in infections has overshadowed the rollout of vaccines and news at the start of the week that Congress had finally hammered out an economic rescue package worth around $900bn.
“So much of the good news of the vaccine had been already digested and even the stimulus bill that people had largely anticipated,” Joanne Feeney of Advisors Capital Management said on Bloomberg TV.
“So some of the flattening of the market just reflects how much has already been built into the market from those two good sources of news.”
However, Hong Kong, Tokyo, Shanghai, Sydney, Seoul, Singapore, Mumbai, Taipei and Manila were all in positive territory after recent losses, while Wellington put on more than 1%. Jakarta and Bangkok fell.
London opened with losses, though Paris and Frankfurt both rose.
But Trump’s outburst against this week’s stimulus agreement raised eyebrows. The outgoing president slammed the package as not having enough for American families and told Congress to rethink it, raising the possibility of it being held up until after Christmas.
“It really is a disgrace,” he said in a video message posted on Twitter.
“I am asking Congress to amend this bill and increase the ridiculously low $600 to $2,000, or $4,000 for a couple,” he added, referring to relief cheques being prepared. “I’m also asking Congress to immediately get rid of the wasteful and unnecessary items from this legislation, and just send me a suitable bill.”
OANDA’s Jeffrey Halley said: “Asia’s first reaction appears to be that President Trump is bluffing, or that even if Trump vetoes the fiscal stimulus, Congress will act quickly with the necessary votes” to override his veto.
“Given that many Congressional representatives have probably already left Washington DC for the holidays, that could be complacent.
For now, markets appear to be holding off pressing the sell button until the situation clarifies.” DailyFX strategist Ilya Spivak warned: “This is yet another catalyst to inspire people to cash out.”
And Axi analyst Stephen Innes warned the first quarter of 2021 could be a struggle for markets. “Besides the obvious market sentiment shifts on the most worrying virus mutation, some dim-lit economic worries could still hurt the reflation trade” in the first three months of the year, he said.
“Even with the vaccine rollout getting underway, people had become polarised into one of two groups — those ready to travel now and those who are not prepared for six months or more.
“With the new variant of the virus unleashing its wrath on the UK, it is not a stretch to assume that the percentage of those ready to travel anytime soon will drop.” Worries about the impact of new lockdowns on travel have hit oil prices badly, with both main contracts down more than 1% on Wednesday and around 6% lower since hitting 10-month highs last week.
Investors are keeping a wary eye on post-Brexit trade talks as British and European Union negotiators struggle to find common ground with just over a week to go until a deadline for a deal passes.
The EU has rejected the latest UK offer on the crucial sticking point of fishing but is ready to pursue an agreement even beyond the end of the year cut-off, diplomats said.
According to sources in a meeting of ambassadors, EU negotiator Michel Barnier said he could not guarantee there would be a deal but that the bloc’s “door will remain open”, although Britain has rejected the idea of continuing talks into the new year.
Still, traders remain hopeful a last-minute deal will be hatched, which was providing a little support for sterling. In Tokyo, the Nikkei 225 closed up 0.3% to 26,524.79 points; Hong Kong — Hang Seng ended up 0.9% to 26,343.10 points and Shanghai — Composite closed up 0.8% to 3,382.32 points on Wednesday. Source: https://www.gulf-times.com/
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Rupee gains 40 paise; touches 73.90 against dollar after RBI Guv comments


AUG 27, 2020 MUMBAI: The rupee gained sharply in afternoon trade and touched 73.90 against the US dollar on Thursday after RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das said the central bank has not exhausted its ammunition to deal with the current situation due to the coronavirus pandemic. The rupee rose 40 paise from its closing level of 74.30 on Wednesday. In morning trade on Thursday, it had touched 74.36 against the American currency. Speaking at a webinar organised by financial daily Business Standard, Das said that rather than becoming averse to lending, banks have to improve their risk management and governance frameworks, and also build sufficient resilience. "Extreme risk aversion can be self-defeating, banks will not be able to win their bread," Das said, amid reports of a slowdown in credit growth in the system. He also said the central bank has not exhausted its ammunition, whether on rate cuts or other policy actions, to deal with the current situation due to the pandemic. The dollar index, which gauges the greenback's strength against a basket of six currencies, fell 0.08 per cent to 92.93. On the domestic equity market front, the 30-share BSE benchmark Sensex was trading 173.06 points higher at 39,246.98 and broader NSE Nifty rose 46.85 points to 11,596.45. Foreign institutional investors were net buyers in the capital market as they purchased shares worth Rs 1,581.31 crore on Wednesday, according to provisional exchange data. Brent crude futures, the global oil benchmark, rose 0.18 per cent to USD 45.72 per barrel. Copyright © Jammu Links News, Source:  Jammu Links News
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Rural Inda grows at 3X of urban India in FMCG

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Rural India is outpacing India in FMCG growth trends with demand in the rural areas at three times the national average in June. Nielsen has revised the forecast for the FMCG sector for the financial year 2020 to flat compared to its earlier forecast of a growth of 5-6 percent.

As per Nielsen Q2 2020 FMCG growth snapshot data for the FMCG sector, rural areas grew three times of the all India numbers in June. While the national growth numbers were at 4.5 percent, rural India grew at 12.5 percent with urban areas at a minuscule .04 percent. For the quarter, April-June, growth was in negative territory at 17.1 percent for the national average while rural fell much less at 11.2 percent while the decline was more pronounced in urban areas at 20.4 percent.

According to Nielsen, lower COVID incidence, government stimulus and agricultural impetus have boosted rural sentiments. Some of the measures include Rs 40,000 crore increase in allocation of MGNREGA, 116 districts of UP, Jharkhand, Odisha, MP, Rajasthan & Jharkhand, included in the 'Garib Kalyan Rojgar Abhiyan' - to ensure opportunities to the migrant-laborers as per their skill set, upskilling of three lakh migrant workers with short-term programmes and Rs 1 lakh crore agri infrastructure Fund for farm gate infrastructure for farmers. A good monsoon and higher sowing of crops have aided the rural sector.

The strong rural growth has also been led by reverse migration hotspots as workers moved back from the cities to their homes in the villages due to the lockdown and Covid worries.

On the future outlook, Nielsen says that festivities will be an important factor. The second half of the year has some of the big festivals across India. Spends are expected to revive during this time to compensate for the loss of dine-out and entertainment. Food categories are expected to see a higher growth because of this.

It estimates that loss of employment will hurt consumption. Though unemployment has come down post hitting a 24 percent peak in April/May it still continues at 11 percent level. Loss of jobs across different sectors is expected to hit consumption demand, it said.

The scenario remains robust for the rural sector. There are lower COVID cases in rural areas and reverse migration expected to give a positive uptick. In addition, MNREGA wages are at an all-time high, rural disbursement is more than two times of same period last year, the progress of the southwest monsoon so far has been bountiful and flood impact very low compared to last year, restricted to 2-3 states.

There is a positive boost for agriculture with 40-60 percent higher water availability in reservoirs, increased sowing area coverage. The Rabi harvest in April was good and with a good monsoon Kharif harvest is expected to augurs well too and to the MSP prices for crops have also seen a significant increase.

For the urban areas, with continued relaxation of lockdown businesses, offices, malls and entertainment centres opening up and expected to play a major role in creating positive sentiments in urban areas. (IANS) Source: https://southasiamonitor.org
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